Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.366434 1.602700 1.848466 2.121727 2.415667 2.721067 3.061110
2025-01-19 1.059915 1.398357 1.771104 2.205756 2.692920 3.217059 3.818807
2025-01-26 0.924364 1.322376 1.777561 2.324092 2.951406 3.639441 4.442243
2025-02-02 0.824305 1.270545 1.798314 2.447866 3.207990 4.054402 5.054331
2025-02-09 0.759747 1.248705 1.843462 2.590096 3.477010 4.475956 5.666970
2025-02-16 0.679429 1.195993 1.842929 2.671270 3.669642 4.806387 6.173363
2025-02-23 0.588404 1.118000 1.802497 2.697064 3.791143 5.050253 6.577027
2025-03-02 0.468418 0.985824 1.682308 2.615724 3.777348 5.130913 6.787897
2025-03-09 0.361518 0.857604 1.556454 2.518266 3.736645 5.173999 6.949964
2025-03-16 0.287040 0.767195 1.473421 2.468809 3.749222 5.275631 7.176250
2025-03-23 0.247558 0.727659 1.457427 2.503958 3.864844 5.499000 7.544578
2025-03-30 0.211802 0.689048 1.439373 2.533866 3.972046 5.710929 7.898431
2025-04-06 0.161815 0.618512 1.373965 2.503114 4.008531 5.845910 8.172888
2025-04-13 0.147450 0.615337 1.409939 2.611994 4.225881 6.204482 8.718247
2025-04-20 0.137995 0.620359 1.457413 2.735898 4.461878 6.585289 9.289648
2025-04-27 0.131864 0.631543 1.514258 2.872988 4.715391 6.988317 9.888706
2025-05-04 0.129433 0.650514 1.583346 3.027386 4.991723 7.419916 10.522749
2025-05-11 0.116081 0.641523 1.606383 3.115940 5.181564 7.744356 11.027551
2025-05-18 0.094954 0.608583 1.588041 3.143918 5.290723 7.967924 11.409847
2025-05-25 0.062115 0.532308 1.491724 3.055454 5.242881 7.993536 11.550075
2025-06-01 0.035377 0.455731 1.387026 2.949290 5.167363 7.981330 11.641540
2025-06-08 0.020114 0.403862 1.320331 2.895362 5.158704 8.050443 11.829599
2025-06-15 0.014082 0.386040 1.315122 2.933693 5.275072 8.277994 12.212438